When I went to sit in my chair this morning I found a stack of
Yahoo Internet Life magazines already sitting there.
These things are from 1998 !
I haven't gone through all of them yet, but the January issue "
Top of the NET '97" caught my eye & I couldn't wait to check that out. I hadn't been on the Internet much at all before maybe 2001-ish, maybe even later.
It was pretty interesting to see the predictions made by
Scott Adams, David Talbot, M. McDaniel, Penn Jillette, Aliza Sherman, David Letterman, J.C. Herz, Keith Benjamin, Emmanuel Goldstien, & Rich Karlgaard for things to come in 1998. It was even more interesting to think about which predictions are still around today, a full decade later.
The first one by
Scott Adams (creator of Dilbert) is just plain funny all the way around.
I predict someone will invent a technology that allows victims of spam to retaliate.If scientists can put a landing craft on Mars, surely they can find a way to send lethal doses of electricity through the Net to those who deserve it most. I know I'd pay $29.95 for a product like that.
Well Scott, 10 years later we're baking mud pies on the surface of Mars, but...
Rich Karlgaard (Editor of Forbes ASAP) goes on to start by saying "
Web ad dollars with quadruple in 1998". I wonder if he anticipated ad dollars
Googling a few years later.
Rich actually made a few more predictions as well.
Most content sites will die away, unless they can figure out how to make money from transactions.
This sounds a lot like the PPC to CPA & Affiliate Programs shift that seems to be happening lately.
Web Commerce will explode.
Or pop like a bubble maybe ?
IBM or AT&T will buy Netscape
What is the deal with Netscape anyway ?

They're a little too early for my time.
Keith Benjamin (Internet Analyst, Robertson & Stevens and Co.) has a single lengthy prediction moving from 1997 to 1998 about Internet Advertising.
I expect Internet Advertising to move from tests in 1997 to real budgets.
Commerce winners: travel tickets, car purchases, stock brokerages. In terms of shakeouts, I expect MSN to continue to languish. very few services or content areas have found much of an audience for anything but e-mail and chat. That leaves very few companies leading categories. I believe the prize for first will vastly exceed second. Winners in my view include: AOL, Yahoo!, CNET, and E*Trade
Now
Emmanuel goldstien (Publisher of 2600 magazine) definitely saw something coming a mile away with his prediction.
The net will continue to grow, and so will the conflicts -- 12 year olds will battle multi-national corporations, Net Nazis will fight hackers, Governments will have it out with activists. For a time, the wide-open environment of the net will force opposing sides to listen to each-other. Once they all get tired of that, the Net will factionize and break apart so that, similar to TV, we never have to deal with things that disturb us or make us think too much. we'll have the Military Net, the childrens Net, the black net, the white Net, and so on. the days where we actually had to listen to our enemies will become a memory, and finally a myth.
I guess some things never change.
David Letterman (Late Nite with David Letterman) had the right idea with his prediction.
I don't know about the rest of cyberspace, but for me 1998 means more free time to design Web Pages !
I wonder if David Letterman uses Front Page ?

Now
Penn Jillette (Magician with Penn & Teller) had a really interesting prediction I thought, especially with all of the fuss going around about
Privacy these days.
We will continue to be told that freedom is a bad idea. The Net will be blamed for more kiddie porn, terrorism, and loss of privacy. those who remember that these things predate home computers (and maybe even pong) will get blue in the face to keep the future getting better.
If I was a conspiracy theorist, seeing Penn and Teller do a show about how 9-11 was actually pulled off would let me die a happy man.
Well, that's it for the predictions, at least the ones that are today still interesting.
If I get bored & think about it, I'll see about digging through the rest of these magazines.
Strong with this one, the sudo is.